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The Reckoning — inhumancost.com
OPERATION EPIC FURY · THE RECKONING · DAY — · HUMAN COST — LIVE
RECKONING
INHUMAN COST Data Ledger · inhumancost.com
Operation Epic Fury · Human Cost Analysis

The
Reckoning

They are not collateral.
They are counted.

Operation
Epic Fury
Strike Start
28 Feb 2026
Elapsed
Est. Casualties
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Displaced
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01 / SCOPE
What this page tracks
Civilian casualties, displacement, infrastructure destruction, and healthcare system collapse across Iran. Data sourced from ACLED, UNHCR, OCHA, and AP conflict monitoring.
02 / LIMITS
Why the numbers are uncertain
Active conflict zones suppress reporting. All figures are estimates with stated uncertainty ranges. We show the best available data and mark when we can't get live feeds.
03 / BOTH SIDES
Iranian civilians and US personnel
This page tracks human cost on both sides. The United States government reports casualties through DoD channels. Iranian civilian casualties are estimated by independent monitors.
04 / SOURCES
Where data comes from
ACLED (conflict events), UNHCR (displacement), OCHA ReliefWeb (humanitarian), AP/Reuters (verified reporting), Iranian Red Crescent, and US DoD official releases.
Days Elapsed
since first strike
Est. Civilian Dead
confirmed + probable
Est. Wounded
hospital admissions
Displaced Persons
IDP + cross-border
Strike Events
ACLED recorded
Section 01

Casualties & Human Cost

Civilian deaths and injuries are estimated from conflict event data, hospital reports, and independent monitoring. All figures carry uncertainty. We report what is verifiable, and flag what is not.

Estimated Total Casualties
Civilian Dead
est. range loading…
Civilian Wounded
requires hospitalization
US Military KIA
DoD confirmed
Sources: ACLED · IRNA · US DoD · AP/Reuters conflict monitoring · Iranian Red Crescent Society  · 
Children Killed
Estimated
— % of civilian dead
Children account for a disproportionate share of civilian casualties in aerial bombardment. Figure derived from UNICEF age-disaggregated conflict data ratios applied to ACLED totals.
Source: UNICEF / ACLED ratio model
Women Killed
Estimated
— % of civilian dead
Independent conflict monitors report women represent approximately 28–35% of non-combatant casualties in airstrikes on populated areas.
Source: ACLED / IRC gender analysis
Bodies Unrecovered
IRCS Report
↑ Rising
Iranian Red Crescent estimates bodies unrecovered under rubble in strike zones. Infrastructure destruction has severely limited search and rescue operations.
Source: Iranian Red Crescent Society
Missing / Unaccounted
ICRC
↑ Increasing
ICRC missing persons tracking for individuals separated from families during active conflict and displacement. Many will be reclassified as casualties as documentation improves.
Source: ICRC missing persons program
On counting the dead

In active conflict zones, casualty figures are systematically undercounted in the early weeks. Media access is restricted. Hospitals are overwhelmed. Bodies in rubble are not yet extracted. Every number on this page is a floor, not a ceiling.

Independent conflict monitors consistently find that initial official figures are revised significantly upward as documentation catches up with events. We present the most current available estimates and will update as reporting improves.

Section 02

Displacement & Flight

Mass displacement is a predictable consequence of sustained aerial bombardment. UNHCR and OCHA are tracking population movement from strike-affected provinces.

Internally Displaced
UNHCR / IOM
↑ updating
Persons displaced within Iranian borders, moving away from active strike zones toward central provinces. Figures from IOM displacement tracking matrix.
Source: IOM DTM · UNHCR Iran
Cross-Border Refugees
UNHCR
↑ Increasing
Persons who have crossed into Iraq, Turkey, or Afghanistan. UNHCR is coordinating emergency reception with host country governments. Figures are understated due to unofficial crossings.
Source: UNHCR Regional Bureau
Host Country: Iraq
UNHCR Iraq
↑ Receiving
Iraq is receiving the largest cross-border flow. Emergency shelter capacity is under pressure in Basra, Diyala, and Kurdistan Region. UNHCR emergency response activated.
Source: UNHCR Iraq · OCHA
Host Country: Turkey
UNHCR Turkey
↑ Receiving
Turkey has re-opened the Esendere border crossing. Government has not yet invoked temporary protection status. UNHCR is monitoring arrivals and providing basic assistance.
Source: UNHCR Turkey · DGMM
Displacement flow — estimated totals
Internal (IDP)
Fled to Iraq
Fled to Turkey
Fled to Afghanistan
Emergency shelters
Section 03

Infrastructure Destroyed

Strikes on dual-use and civilian infrastructure have cascading effects on survival. Power, water, hospitals, and roads are all both military targets and civilian necessities.

🏥
Hospitals Damaged
incl. non-functional
Power Plants Hit
partial or total loss
💧
Water Facilities
treatment / pumping
🌉
Bridges / Roads
critical routes cut
🏫
Schools Damaged
UNICEF report
Fuel Depots
EIA / ACLED
📡
Comms Nodes
NetBlocks / OONI
🏗
Residential Blocks
UNOSAT satellite
Why infrastructure is a human cost

International humanitarian law distinguishes between military and civilian objects. Hospitals, water treatment plants, and electrical grids are protected civilian infrastructure. Damage to these systems kills people indirectly — through lack of surgical capacity, contaminated water, and inability to refrigerate medicine — for months and years after strikes end.

The UNOSAT satellite analysis programme is running damage assessment on available imagery. Infrastructure damage figures on this page will be updated as analysis is released.

Section 04

Healthcare Under Siege

The health system impact of sustained conflict extends far beyond direct strike casualties. Chronic disease management, maternal care, and child health all collapse under bombardment.

Hospitals Operational
—%
Share of pre-conflict hospital capacity still functioning in strike-affected provinces. WHO tracks daily operational status.
Blood Supplies
Critical
Iranian Blood Transfusion Organisation reports critically low stocks in Isfahan, Khuzestan, and Bushehr provinces.
Medical Evacuations
Patients transferred out of conflict zones to functioning hospitals in Tehran and other major cities. ICRC facilitating.
Dialysis Patients at Risk
WHO / IRCS
~12,000
↑ Power cuts = death risk
Dialysis machines require reliable electricity. Power grid disruptions in strike zones have placed approximately 12,000 patients on dialysis at risk of treatment interruption. Without treatment, patients die within days.
Source: WHO Iran · IRCS Health
ICU Beds Available
MOH Iran
↓ Overwhelmed
Iranian Ministry of Health emergency reporting shows ICU capacity in affected provinces near or at saturation. Mass casualty events have overwhelmed surgical throughput in multiple cities.
Source: MOH Iran emergency bulletin
Insulin Supply (Days)
WHO / Supply
~18 days
↓ Depleting
Cold chain disruption and supply route interference has severely limited insulin restocking. WHO estimates approximately 18 days of emergency reserves remain in isolated provinces.
Source: WHO emergency supply tracking
Births Without Medical Care
UNFPA Est.
↑ Rising
UNFPA estimates the number of births occurring without skilled birth attendants due to facility damage and displacement. Maternal and neonatal mortality rates are expected to rise significantly.
Source: UNFPA Iran emergency response
Section 05

Strike Timeline

Chronology of confirmed events from ACLED, US DoD releases, and independent media verification. Times in UTC.

Section 06

In Their Words

Documented testimony from survivors, journalists, and humanitarian workers on the ground. Sourced from verified press reporting.

"We carried him out from the rubble after two days. The hospital had no electricity, no blood. The doctors were doing surgery with phone torches."
Survivor, Bandar Abbas
Source: Reuters, March 2026 · Identity withheld for safety
"There are no military targets here. This is a residential neighbourhood. The market, the school, the clinic — all gone. Where do people go?"
Local journalist, Khuzestan Province
Source: BBC Persian Service, March 2026
"We are receiving people at the border with nothing. No documents, no money, children without shoes. The scale is beyond what we prepared for."
UNHCR Field Officer, Iraq-Iran Border
Source: UNHCR public briefing, March 2026
"My dialysis machine stopped four days ago. I have been on the list for transfer to Tehran but there are hundreds ahead of me."
Patient, Ahvaz Regional Hospital
Source: AP, March 2026 · Identity withheld
Methodology & Data Sources
Casualty data: Primary source is ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data), supplemented by AP and Reuters verified reporting. ACLED figures are typically 7–14 days behind real-time events. We apply a 1.3× undercount correction factor consistent with retrospective conflict analysis, and display uncertainty ranges.

Displacement data: IOM Displacement Tracking Matrix and UNHCR Regional Bureau. Cross-border figures use official border crossing data where available; unofficial crossings add estimated 20–40% to totals.

Infrastructure: UNOSAT satellite damage assessments, WHO facility status reports, and OCHA situation reports. Figures updated as new imagery and reports are released.

Healthcare: WHO Iran emergency response team, Iranian Ministry of Health public bulletins, ICRC field reports, UNFPA reproductive health monitoring.

Automated data: Where live APIs return data, it is fetched and displayed with source attribution. Where APIs are unavailable or blocked by CORS restrictions, hardcoded estimates based on the most recent published figures are shown with an ⚠ Estimated badge. Numbers are not invented — they are the best current published estimates.

US military casualties: US Department of Defense official casualty reporting only. We do not estimate or speculate on US military casualties beyond confirmed DoD figures.